A flare may look simple: gas goes up, it burns and the products disperse into the atmosphere. From an air quality modelling perspective, it is rarely that simple. Except for a typical flare stack oil and gas operations uses.
Flare performance can change with gas composition, flow rate, heating value, stack geometry, meteorological conditions and the duration of the event. For sour gas facilities, the questions can become more serious: Where will SO₂ and H₂S concentrations be highest? Will Alberta Ambient Air Quality Objectives be met? Does the flare design satisfy Directive 060?
That is where air dispersion modelling becomes important.
At Calvin Consulting Group Ltd., we use AERMOD and the Alberta Energy Regulator's AERFlare methodology to assess continuous incineration, routine and emergency flaring, plant blowdowns, acid gas flaring and other combustion scenarios.
The objective is straightforward: Produce a modelling assessment that realistically represents the facility and provides a defensible answer to the regulatory question.
The modelling required to get there, however, can be considerably more involved.
Flares, flares and more flaresThe fundamental question is usually: Will emissions from this flare or incinerator result in unacceptable ground-level concentrations or otherwise fail to meet applicable regulatory requirements?
Depending on the project, that may involve evaluating:
In Alberta, the modelling may support requirements under AER Directive 060, the Alberta Air Quality Model Guideline, an EPEA approval application or another regulatory process.
The important point is that there is no single flare model that automatically answers every question. The modeller first needs to understand what is actually happening at the facility.
For a conventional stack, the modeller may be given relatively stable parameters:
A flare can be more dynamic.
A hot flare in a cold climateThe gas flow rate may change. The flare stack oil and gas composition may change. The heating value may change. The flame characteristics and resulting effective source parameters can also vary with atmospheric conditions.
Simply choosing one set of assumed parameters and calling it worst case is not necessarily the most representative approach.
For applicable AERFlare scenarios, Calvin Consulting regularly uses the algorithms provided by the Alberta Energy Regulator to calculate flare emission and source parameters that vary with meteorological conditions. These changing parameters are incorporated into the modelling rather than assuming that one fixed flare condition represents every hour of the meteorological record.
That distinction can matter. The highest emission rate does not always produce the highest ground-level concentration.
Likewise, the lowest exit velocity or largest flow rate may not independently represent the worst dispersion conditions.
The atmosphere and the flare interact. That is one reason flare modelling requires more professional judgment than simply entering a flow rate into a dispersion model.
AERFlare is an important tool used in Alberta to support flare and incinerator assessments. It helps calculate flare characteristics and prepare modelling inputs using the methodology associated with Alberta regulatory requirements.
Behind the scenes, the process can involve:
The spreadsheet is therefore only one part of the assessment. A good flare study also requires the modeller to decide:
Those decisions often have a much greater influence on the usefulness of the assessment than simply knowing which button to press in the spreadsheet.
AERFlare for flare stack oil and gas clientsOne recent Calvin Consulting project involved a proposed facility with both continuous incineration and potential emergency sour gas flaring.
These were not treated as the same source operating under one set of assumptions.
The assessment evaluated:
Continuous incineration - The continuous incinerator was assessed using its normal stack and emission parameters to determine whether predicted SO₂ and H₂S concentrations would comply with applicable Alberta Ambient Air Quality Objectives.
Emergency flaring - Separate emergency flaring scenarios were then evaluated for different flare configurations and flow rates. The allowable flow rates were not selected arbitrarily. They were constrained by the applicable ground-level thermal radiation requirements.
The flare modelling parameters were calculated using the AERFlare methodology, with parameters varying by hour according to the meteorological algorithms provided by the AER.
This is an important example of why an assessment for a flare stack oil and gas firms have is not always just a matter of modelling the largest possible gas flow. A scenario may be constrained simultaneously by:
The technically appropriate solution has to consider all of them together.
Another recent project involved a sour gas plant undergoing an emergency blowdown. The question was not simply, What happens if the flare operates continuously?
Instead, the assessment considered a short-duration event associated with rapidly depressurizing the plant (a blowdown). Separate scenarios included:
In one case, three different acid gas flow rates were assessed. Interestingly, the highest flow rate did not automatically produce the highest predicted ground-level SO₂ concentration.
That is exactly the type of result that illustrates why dispersion modelling cannot always be reduced to a simple assumption that:
More gas = higher concentration everywhere.
A larger flow can also produce a hotter or more buoyant plume with different dispersion behaviour. The interaction between emissions, plume rise and meteorology needs to be evaluated rather than guessed.
A flare assessment can involve years of hourly meteorological data. For Alberta regulatory modelling, Calvin Consulting commonly processes five years of meteorological data for use with AERMOD. The meteorological data influence:
For many facilities, terrain can also be important. A facility located in relatively flat terrain may behave very differently from one located near significant elevation changes. Receptors may need to be added around facility boundaries or concentrated near predicted maximum concentrations to properly define the results.
The objective is not simply to create the largest possible receptor grid. It is to use a receptor system that can adequately identify the maximum concentrations relevant to the assessment.
The final report should not simply say that the model was run and everything passed. A useful assessment should clearly explain:
For example:
The best modelling report does more than just produce a number; it helps the client understand what the number means and what can be done about it.
Flare modelling is often associated with regulatory submissions, but it can be more useful when completed before every design decision has been locked in.
Modelling can be used to compare alternatives. For example:
One recent Calvin Consulting assessment supported an application to reduce the minimum operating temperature of a sulphur recovery unit incinerator. The analysis evaluated the resulting air quality implications rather than assuming that a lower temperature was automatically acceptable or unacceptable.
This is where modelling becomes a decision-support tool rather than simply a regulatory checkbox.
Not every flare assessment involves a permanent sour gas facility. Calvin Consulting has also reviewed the regulatory requirements affecting mobile flares used during natural gas transmission pipeline maintenance.
In that type of work, the questions may extend well beyond dispersion modelling. They can include:
For a pipeline operator, the practical question may be: What do our crews actually need to do before, during and after a flaring event?
A technically useful regulatory review translates the requirements into something that operations personnel can apply.
AERFlare and AERMOD are tools. They do not replace professional judgment.
Two assessments using the same software can produce very different, and potentially very different quality, results depending on:
The most important part of an assessment is often the thinking that occurs before the model is run. At Calvin Consulting, our work is based on the principle that the model should represent the real facility as clearly as reasonably possible.
That means avoiding unnecessary complexity while also avoiding oversimplifications that could distort the result. Sometimes a simple model is the right model.
Under other circumstances, the project requires multiple scenarios, hourly varying flare parameters, short-duration event analysis, refined receptors or detailed regulatory interpretation.
The objective is the same: Use a defensible approach that answers the actual question the client and regulator need answered.
Calvin Consulting Group Ltd. provides air quality dispersion modelling and regulatory support for industrial facilities across Western Canada. Our experience includes:
Instead of every project needing the most complicated possible model, we believe the modelling needs to be appropriate for the facility, defensible to the regulator and useful to the people making decisions.
If you have a flare, incinerator, blowdown or industrial emission source that needs to be assessed, Calvin Consulting can help determine what level of modelling is actually required and then complete the assessment without adding unnecessary complexity.
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Background Concentrations: A Small Number That Can Matter
Air dispersion models generally predict the contribution from the facility being assessed.
They do not automatically include everything already present in the atmosphere.
Where appropriate and required, background concentrations must be considered. This can require professional judgment.
For example, the closest monitoring station may not necessarily have suitable data for every contaminant or averaging period. The modeller may need to examine:
In one recent project, Calvin Consulting evaluated multiple years of ambient monitoring data to establish background concentrations for SO₂ and H₂S before adding them to the predicted concentrations.
The calculation itself may be straightforward. Choosing and documenting a defensible approach is where experience becomes valuable.