Land use and land cover are easy to overlook in air quality dispersion modelling. They shouldn't be.
AERMOD, CALMET, AERSCREEN and related modelling systems do not see the landscape the way we do. They see numerical descriptions of the surface with information that helps characterize how the atmosphere interacts with forests, fields, water, urban areas, industrial development and other land-cover types.
Those surface characteristics can affect wind, turbulence, atmospheric heating and ultimately the way an emission plume disperses. The basic chain is:
Real landscape → land-use/land-cover data → surface characteristics → meteorology → dispersion → predicted concentrations
For most projects, the established procedures for preparing these data work well. The important qualification is that the government dataset is not necessarily the current landscape. Where there has been recent urban or industrial development, I have occasionally found it necessary to update or adjust the land-use information before using it for modelling.
The model needs the landscape that exists (or will exist for the assessment) not necessarily the landscape shown in an older database.
A dispersion model needs to represent the surface surrounding the emission source because the surface influences the atmosphere above it.
Different surfaces interact with sunlight, heat, moisture and wind in different ways. A forest is not an agricultural field. A lake is different from a parking lot. A city is not open grassland.
Those differences are represented in a number of parameters used by dispersion and meteorological models. For AERMOD and AERMET, important surface characteristics include:
For CALMET and CALPUFF, Land use and land cover information is represented spatially so that surface characteristics can vary across the modelling domain.
The important point is simple: Land use and land cover are more than just map labels. They are part of the physical description of the atmosphere used by the model.
You don't need to be a meteorologist to understand the basic physics.
Parameter
In plain language
Why it matters
Surface roughness
How much the surface interferes with airflow
Affects wind speed and turbulence
Albedo
How much sunlight the surface reflects
Affects surface heating
Bowen ratio
How surface energy is divided between heating and evaporation
Influences atmospheric stability
Consider the difference between an open agricultural field and a forest.
The forest has a much rougher surface. It also interacts differently with solar energy and moisture. Those differences affect the lower atmosphere and therefore the conditions under which a plume disperses.
This is why land-cover classification is ultimately a meteorological input, not simply a GIS exercise.
This distinction is worth understanding.
AERMOD uses surface characteristics in conjunction with AERMET-processed meteorological data. Depending on the application, the modeller must establish appropriate values for:
Impact of land use and land cover on the environmentTools such as AERSURFACE can be used to help determine appropriate surface characteristics. The result is a set of surface parameters used in preparing the meteorological input to AERMOD.
CALPUFF and CALMETuse spatially distributed information.
Land-use data are incorporated into the meteorological modelling domain through gridded information such as the GEO.DAT file. Surface characteristics can therefore vary from one part of the domain to another.
This becomes particularly useful when the modelling area contains significant changes in:
The choice is therefore not simply "AERMOD versus CALPUFF." The modeller also has to understand how the selected modelling system represents the surface.
The basic information may come from government or publicly available datasets. Depending on the province and application, sources can include:
Software may then be used to classify, translate, grid and process the information into the format needed by the modelling system.
For example, Canadian land-cover information may need to be translated into the coding system expected by a particular model or preprocessing program. The important distinction is between:
This is one of the simplest and most useful checks a modeller can make. Government datasets are generally reliable and provide a trustworthy starting point. But they may be several years old.
That can matter when a facility is located in a rapidly changing area. A previously open field may now contain:
What I actually check
When reviewing land use and land cover information, I ask:
For most projects, the established data-processing procedures are sufficient. Occasionally, however, a map or database is simply out of date.
In those cases, I have found it appropriate to adjust the land-use information to reflect recent urban or industrial development. That doesn't mean the government data are poor.
It means the landscape changed faster than the database.
One of the reasons land-use classification can become interesting is that regulatory models don't necessarily classify the landscape in the same intuitive way a person would.
Calculating surface roughnessUrban areas can contain large amounts of concrete, asphalt, buildings and other surfaces that alter roughness and heat exchange.
Rural areas generally have lower surface roughness and different thermal characteristics, although "rural" can include a wide variety of actual land covers.
Forests can have substantial aerodynamic roughness and distinctive energy and moisture characteristics.
Water has fundamentally different surface and thermal behaviour from land.
Large water bodies can also create meteorological effects such as lake breezes and other local circulations that may become important to dispersion modelling. This is one reason a simple statement such as "the site is rural" isn't always sufficient.
Alberta's modelling guidance provides recommended surface characteristics for use in AERMOD assessments. The guidance also allows proponents to develop more site-specific or realistic values where appropriate, provided the basis for using different values is explained.
Shaping the air with surface featuresOne of the important practical considerations is the classification of land within the area surrounding the source.
The Alberta approach includes specific guidance for determining whether the setting should be treated as urban or rural, including the proportion of applicable urban land uses within the area considered. Forested areas also receive particular treatment.
The AERflare modelling system incorporates surface-characteristic information for flare applications. For a project that follows the standard regulatory procedure, these established methods provide a solid starting point.
The experienced modeller's responsibility is to determine whether the standard treatment still represents the site.
British Columbia provides particularly detailed guidance on determining surface characteristics for dispersion modelling. For AERMOD applications, land-use information can be used to determine parameters such as:
Tools such as AERSURFACE can assist with the process. For CALMET/CALPUFF applications, spatially distributed land-use information is incorporated into the meteorological field.
The BC approach also emphasizes the importance of considering:
See the British Columbia Dispersion Modelling Guideline for the detailed procedures.
Saskatchewan: AERSURFACE and MMIF
Saskatchewan's modelling guidance similarly recognizes the importance of surface characteristics in dispersion modelling. The guidance discusses procedures involving tools such as:
The assessment of land use includes consideration of:
Again, the underlying principle is the same: The model's surface representation should be appropriate for the site being assessed.
Manitoba: Urban or rural?
Seasonal shifts alter pollution spread in CanadaManitoba also uses land-use classification in determining appropriate dispersion characteristics.
The province's guidance uses the Auer land-use classification system and considers land use within the area surrounding the source when determining whether urban or rural dispersion characteristics are appropriate.
This is a good example of why provincial guidance matters. The general physics of dispersion does not change at the provincial boundary, but the regulatory procedure for representing those physical conditions can.
Calvin Consulting Group Ltd. uses established regulatory procedures to prepare land-use and surface-characteristic information for air-quality dispersion modelling. Our modelling work incorporates:
Our normal procedures are designed to produce reliable and defensible model inputs. At the same time, we don't treat a government dataset as automatically correct simply because it came from a government source.
Where recent development has materially changed an area's characteristics, we review the available information and can adjust the land-use representation when necessary.
That is a relatively small step in the modelling process, but it illustrates an important principle: The objective is to represent the site accurately rather than just process the dataset correctly.
With more than 30 years of experience in meteorology and dispersion modelling, Calvin Consulting has worked on industrial projects throughout Western Canada involving AERMOD, CALPUFF, AERMET, CALMET and related modelling systems.
We can help determine whether an existing modelling assessment remains representative, whether the surface data need to be updated, and what level of modelling is actually justified.
Sometimes the answer is a new assessment or an existing model is adequate. Or just one input needs to be corrected.
Good modelling begins with good information—and with somebody willing to look closely at it. Contact Barry at Calvin Consulting Group Ltd.
...to discuss a new modelling assessment or review an existing one.
Clean air is our Passion...Regulatory Compliance is our Business.
This is where professional judgment matters most.
I don't ask only: Did the software process the land-use data?
I ask: Does this representation of the landscape make physical sense for this site?
A few things can trigger a closer review.
Recent development - Aerial imagery or local knowledge shows substantial urban or industrial development that isn't present in the government dataset.
A mixed landscape - The site is near the transition between agriculture, forest, industrial development and urban areas.
A large water body - A lake or other substantial water surface is close enough that land-water contrasts may influence meteorology.
Complex terrain - Terrain and land cover change together, making the surface representation more important.
Unexpected model behaviour - The resulting meteorology or dispersion pattern behaves differently than expected.
At that point, the question becomes: Is the unusual result caused by the facility, the atmosphere, the terrain, or is it the way the surface has been represented? That's a bit of a dig.
Surface characteristics interact with several other components of an air-quality assessment. The most useful way to explore them is to follow the modelling workflow:
Those pieces fit together because an air-quality model is ultimately trying to answer one question: Given this facility, this landscape and these atmospheric conditions, where could the emissions go and what concentrations could result?
What can go wrong?
Most land-use problems are not dramatic. They are simply discrepancies that quietly make their way into a model.
An outdated dataset - Recent industrial or residential development may not appear in the government database.
An incorrect classification - An important forest, water body or urban area may be assigned the wrong surface category.
Incorrect model coding - Land-cover information may be correct but translated incorrectly into the coding system required by the model.
Wrong spatial scale - A surface feature may be represented at an inappropriate resolution for the assessment.
Seasonal mismatch - Vegetation and other surface characteristics can change considerably between seasons.
Ignoring the surrounding area - The surface immediately around a source may not represent the larger area influencing the meteorology.
These problems do not necessarily cause an obvious model error as the software may run perfectly.
That's why land-use data need scientific review, not simply a successful preprocessing run.
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A practical land-use and land-cover checklist
Before finalizing the surface representation, check:
□ Current land-use information is available
□ Recent development has been considered
□ Major urban areas are identified
□ Forested areas are identified
□ Significant water bodies are identified
□ Appropriate seasonal characteristics are used
□ Surface roughness is reasonable
□ Albedo is reasonable
□ Bowen ratio is reasonable
□ Urban/rural classification is justified
□ The selected data source is documented
□ Data have been converted into the correct model format
□ AERMET/CALMET processing is appropriate
□ The resulting meteorology has been reviewed for reasonableness
For a broader modelling QA checklist, see: